Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.151964 0.180329 0.212157 0.250463 0.295264 0.345950 0.407592
2025-06-29 0.107316 0.142722 0.186818 0.245560 0.321532 0.416222 0.542930
2025-07-06 0.082446 0.119566 0.169585 0.241476 0.341646 0.475689 0.667972
2025-07-13 0.070201 0.109300 0.165483 0.251360 0.378406 0.558328 0.831053
2025-07-20 0.063231 0.104668 0.167591 0.268961 0.426747 0.661144 1.033268
2025-07-27 0.056391 0.098699 0.166240 0.280332 0.466205 0.754355 1.231005
2025-08-03 0.048627 0.089713 0.158465 0.279879 0.486267 0.819130 1.391048
2025-08-10 0.040702 0.078998 0.146043 0.269572 0.488211 0.854278 1.506163
2025-08-17 0.033749 0.068784 0.132840 0.255749 0.481817 0.873992 1.596381
2025-08-24 0.029991 0.063907 0.128409 0.256797 0.501260 0.939050 1.770198
2025-08-31 0.025747 0.057347 0.119837 0.248810 0.502895 0.972325 1.890248
2025-09-07 0.023413 0.054304 0.117609 0.252638 0.526989 1.048327 2.095204
2025-09-14 0.020776 0.050371 0.113421 0.252811 0.545633 1.119222 2.304417
2025-09-21 0.018096 0.045897 0.107505 0.248723 0.555529 1.175088 2.492394
2025-09-28 0.015816 0.041917 0.102016 0.244682 0.564843 1.230561 2.685313
2025-10-05 0.014812 0.040835 0.102841 0.254702 0.605448 1.353897 3.029471
2025-10-12 0.014379 0.041111 0.106847 0.272525 0.665394 1.523769 3.488207
2025-10-19 0.013587 0.040304 0.108122 0.284039 0.712337 1.670466 3.911825
2025-10-26 0.012244 0.037749 0.104678 0.283580 0.731254 1.757522 4.213360
2025-11-02 0.010600 0.034026 0.097661 0.273144 0.724898 1.786981 4.388558
2025-11-09 0.009029 0.030193 0.089730 0.259147 0.707889 1.789884 4.502763
2025-11-16 0.008243 0.028581 0.087589 0.260208 0.729007 1.884627 4.841710
2025-11-23 0.007224 0.026026 0.082384 0.252121 0.725345 1.919176 5.039691